It is not the thought that counts but the result
Are we sure everyone in class I and Ii are convinced the ship will sink?
Maybe they think it is only shallow water, we are near the coast, so they will survive anyway, no matter what happens.
People in class III have a different perspective than those in class I and II, the lack the skills to save the boat, so they should be ready for mutiny.
A magnificent parable!
Best way to save the ship might be, to promise only 50% of the lifeboats to the priviliged (not declaring, who exactely belongs to them) and to grant accesss to the other 50% to those who most seriously and effectively were engaged to fight the sinking of the ship. So, hope's kept alive with most people.
Still, to me it's not yet clear what the "lifeboats" mean in our world. It seems important to come up with a stringent narrative before contacting oil companies. I totally agree that "Science as usual" wil not save the climate.
Thanks for this eye opener and looking forward to joint plan B.
Another approach is to spread the word that it's going to be fun to go down with the ship... that what comes after that is to be better... and throw millions of bottles into the sea with letters about the event. because the really important thing, the real concern of someone with no way out, is to die without anyone knowing the real reason, and that the people who stay alive, have peace and tranquility to continue their journey on this planet...
There is a better way to think about this. To use your sinking ship narrative, it boils down to training and communication. Like the instructions when boarding a plane, everyone should have access to training and information about how to respond to changing situations. Real heroes don't step up to the challenge they fall back on their training. When doing the right thing is second nature to everyone the problem will practically solve itself. The catch is the ship narrative does not include greed. The wealthy did not get wealthy by keeping the water out. The wealthy get wealthy by letting the water in. So the solution to your (our) problem is to align human greed to saving the planet and then make that goal second nature to everyone. Profits will always come first so how do we make saving the planet profitable?
Now that's the real question.
Collective action needs leadership, which arises when few go ahead and show the way by their actions. Raising dilemmas and rational argumentations is just confusing the people, who usually reacts with their guts, if fast action is needed. And the way that leads to hell is paved with good intentions!
Actually, it's probably the people at the bottom (those in 3rd class) that have the best answers to this dilemma.
Great argument and definitely food for thought...